The Algerian
presidential elections coming up on April 8 have captured the
imagination of the electorate like never before -- because, at
least in theory, one cannot predict the winner. In previous elections,
the results were known long before polling day, and Algerian voters,
in effect, only rubber-stamped decisions made behind the scenes
by the powerful army. But in 2004, le pouvoir -- as Algerians
refer to the military establishment -- has made it clear that
it neither supports nor opposes any of the six major candidates.
Unlike two previous presidential contests with multiple candidates,
in 1995 and 1999, this year's election looks like a free-for-all.
If no candidate wins an outright majority in the April 8 balloting,
there will be a runoff between the two top vote-getters on April
22. Such a scenario appears likely. Should President Abdelaziz
Bouteflika fail to secure a second term in office, the election
will have produced a chief executive who does not have to invoke
participation in the 1954-1962 war of independence to claim legitimacy
with the Algerian public. None of his opponents is from that aging
generation.
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